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⚡️ JUST IN: S&P 500 posts its worst day since July 29th, erasing -$800 billion in market cap.

Inflation is rising again in the US, now nearly double the Fed’s long-term target.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Nasdaq 100 extends losses to over -2% on the day as US inflation rises.

S&P 500 has erased -$1 trillion today.

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⚡️ JUST IN: The probability of a Fed rate hike in two weeks rose from 22.1% to 39.3% on October futures pricing.

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Investors are allocated to Big Tech at the highest level since 2020.

The AI rally has lifted tech’s portfolio share to 37%.

🟢 45% expect an AI bubble in 2027

🟢 Chipmaker stocks are the most popular and overheated bet

🟢 37% would move into bonds at a 6% yield

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⚡️ JUST IN: Nasdaq 100 extends losses to -1.6% as US oil prices top $96/barrel and Treasury Yields rise on hot inflation data.

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⚡️ JUST IN: October rate hike expectations surge to 43% after US CPI hits its third-highest level since September 2023.

October rate hike expectations are up 25 percentage points today. Another highly uncertain Fed decision is ahead.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Bank of America stock, $BAC, falls over -8% after the bank was fined $1.2 billion over money laundering violations and US CPI inflation pushes rate hike expectations higher.

The stock has now erased -$30 billion of market cap today.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Gold prices fall toward $4,100/oz as US CPI inflation rises to 3.7%.

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⚡️ JUST IN: September CPI inflation rises to 3.7%, above expectations of 3.6%.

Core CPI inflation rises to 2.6%, above expectations of 2.5%. This officially marks the third highest US inflation reading since September 2023. Rate hike expectations are rising.

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Forecasts and consensus for today’s CPI from BLS.

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If you don’t start investing today, you will be poor forever.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Trump says his patience has run out and he will teach Iran a harsh lesson.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Iran threatens to invade neighboring countries if US launches new attacks.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Trump says Yemen's Houthis are "behaving very badly," telling them, "I'll be there after the elections, and I will never forget."

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💸 Global Rate Hike Cycle

15 of 33 major central banks (45%) raised interest rates over the past six months, the largest share since 2023. The figure is nearing ~55%, recorded in 2018 and 2011.

By comparison, the share peaked at ~95% in 2022 after post-pandemic stimulus and a resulting surge in global inflation.

54 central banks have hiked rates so far this year. For the first time since September 2023, more central banks have hiked than cut rates over a rolling three-month period.

“Higher for longer” is back.

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In trading, the freedom to do whatever you want is the fastest way to lose everything.

True freedom comes from mastering the discipline to do only what you should.

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⚡️ JUST IN: South Korea's stock market is officially down more than -15% over the last 5 days.

Nasdaq 100 futures are currently down -1% in overnight trading.

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⚡️ JUST IN: South Korea’s stock market extends losses to over -6% as tech stocks sell off.

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⚡️ JUST IN: Mark Zuckerberg says Meta, $META, has caught up at the “frontier of AI” and rejects calls to slow development.

Per FT, Zuckerberg reportedly “shrugged off” fears that AI will soon surpass human control.

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The “official” earnings season starts in the US this week, traditionally led by the largest banks.

FactSet expects oil and big tech to again lead earnings and revenue growth, with the season peaking in the first week of November.

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